DollarCense references prediction market data from two sources in its editorial content, course curriculum, and Intelligence Newsletter. This page explains how that data is used.
Kalshi is a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-regulated Designated Contract Market. Event contracts on Kalshi are swaps subject to CFTC jurisdiction. DollarCense reads publicly accessible Kalshi market data for editorial and educational analysis purposes. Every citation of Kalshi data in DollarCense content includes an as-of timestamp reflecting market conditions at the time of the data read. Market odds change continuously; cited figures should not be relied upon as current without independent verification.
Polymarket is an offshore prediction market based in Curacao that geo-blocks US users from placing trades. DollarCense reads publicly accessible Polymarket data for editorial and educational analysis purposes only. No DollarCense personnel place trades on Polymarket or any other offshore prediction market. DollarCense does not facilitate US-person trading on offshore prediction markets. Every Polymarket citation in DollarCense content includes an as-of timestamp and jurisdictional context.
DollarCense's Intelligence Command Center monitors both Kalshi and Polymarket on the same events and surfaces divergences between the two markets as editorial signals. The disagreement between a CFTC-regulated US market and an offshore market on the same event often reflects structural differences in participant composition and regulatory environment. This divergence is itself the subject of analysis — not a recommendation to trade any event contract on any exchange.
Citation of prediction market data in DollarCense content does not constitute a recommendation to trade any event contract, regulated or unregulated.
The CFTC issued an Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking regarding prediction markets on March 12, 2026. The regulatory environment for prediction markets is active. Readers should consult current CFTC guidance and final rules as they publish. DollarCense updates this disclosure as the regulatory landscape evolves.